Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stamp of Approval | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Best Impression | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Taco Lady | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lumenique | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn’s Turn | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lotsa Trouble | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brick Ambush | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Banker | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always a Warrior | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solo in Paris | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allied Attack | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ski Patrol | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Co Conspirator | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorary Degree | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Drive | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Vargo | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Irish Tenor | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Shore Time | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Within View | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Barron’s Bounce | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Aelfgar | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Sandy Sweet Tooth | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Boss Three O Two | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tempermental | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meraviglioso | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruvies in Time | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Darn That Song | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eros’s Girl | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maggie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Be the Boss | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Munnings | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Excellent Timing | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Boy Al | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Writer’s Regret | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Deano | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kupp | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Authorize | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daufuskie Island | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Got Thunder | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | What’s Up Bro | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ryan’s Cat | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreams She Dreams | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Narciso Dali | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giant’s Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Muazarah | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Piccolo Diavolo | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conniving | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Georgie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Man Woody | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Kingdom | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Castlecove Spirit | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Viejo Verde | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Arteta | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
