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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Judge Rules 0 0-1
5 5 Malibu Margarita 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Quiet Wisdom 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 2 Mama’s Dream 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Judge Rules 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Dillon 30.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Land d’Oro 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rosemary Potatoes 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Afilada 1.60 1.2 2-1
6 6 Bravo Regina 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Proper Grammar 10.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Strange Fruit 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Juliana’s Rose 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr Bob 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hot Rod Rumble 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Devil’s Cay 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Street Swagg 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Big Save 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kool Kathmandu 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Munny Grab 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Fast and Frisky 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Princess Vino 1.40 2.9 6-1
1 1 Baroness Bourbon 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Handle On You 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Alley’s Song 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dolly’s Bank 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Flying in Style 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 The Mighty Don 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 Somama Beach 30.00 3 6-1
3 3 War Chrome 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Alpha Sonny 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Gentle Jack Frost 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Road Soda 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Anileate 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Graceful Rose 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Ocean Gateway 1.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Miss Kristy 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Argentina Girl 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Irish Jackson 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Miss Fashionista 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tough Street 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Spiked 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Bustin Bay 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Coppa Girl 1.80 2.7 5-1
6 6 Crypto Mama 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Towhead 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Give Me Kisses 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Apuro 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Don Vino Vici 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Allegrini 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Crown That Saint 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Uncle Eddie 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Conflicted 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Strategic Decision 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Nicole’s King 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Indianquest 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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