Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Valerie Blue | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bump in the Night | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cry If I Want To | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Rag | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gogo Bobbyjo | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sheza Shenanigan | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catalina Sunrise | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Avalon Girl | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cadeau de Paix | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Distorted Secrets | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Willow Moon | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Singing Emma | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Shadows | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Musicmansandy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Sagey | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Varton | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Family | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promising Shoes | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devoted to You | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D Two | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Georgia Deputy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forever Cool | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galactic Empire | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nomoremrniceguy | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Go West | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Wide Awake | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Radical Right | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Count de Monet | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accidental Hero | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Friar Laurence | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chipofftheoldblock | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Charter Oak | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Swing | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boldish | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cost Basis | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Square Deal | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella’s Prayer | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Franco | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Easy Big Boy | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concept | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Cactus | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Majesty | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Concept | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raven’s Nest | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indulge | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Ticket | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Jack | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | City of Clouds | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rivalry | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alexander Helios | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Indian Gulch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | B Minor | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Archie the Giza | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guided Arrow | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sun Thunder | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nullarbor | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | City Legend | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Namesake | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harleezy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magna Tap | 50.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Auto Glide | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Battle Strike | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambezi | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Zambezi | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Code Five | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Media Mogul | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Uncle Leon | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Axton | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plausible Denile | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo’s Treasure | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Houdini | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mr Works | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doublecheck | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bradford | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speaking Loud | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Strategy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Green Lights | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gentle Ben | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Money Mo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outlaw Run | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unnecessary Tricks | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hard Luck Henry | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Our Heavenly Gift | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Crime Zone | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.