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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tooshay 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Jayla 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Hot Candy 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Prugova 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Our Reward 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Keep It Sexy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Predicted 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Disappearance 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Thistle 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Fight Fiercely 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Midnight Worker 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Flash Kiss 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 9 Everlys Girl 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 To a T 1.60 2.5 5-1
1 1 Slack Tide 5.00 3 6-1
1A 2 Midtown Rose 5.00 3.1 6-1
2B 8 Hydra 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Divine Cross 4.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Triple P 30.00 5.4 10-1
2 7 Diva Banker 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Killy Start 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 6 Self Isolation 1.80 SCRATCH
3 2 Pretti Xtreme 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Shesalittle Edgy 2.50 2.3 4-1
2B 8 Taming the Tigress 1.80 SCRATCH
6 7 Remain Anonymous 4.00 3.9 7-1
1A 3 Icy Reply 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Jackie the Joker 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Anonymously 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Saratoga Smokeshow 0 0-1
1 1 Saratoga Smokeshow 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Song of Solomini 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Poseidon’s Mist 1.40 2.3 4-1
6 6 Apollonia Vitelli 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 East Harbor 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Dell Arte 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Frankie’s Rose 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dazzy 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ghostly Girl 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 First Class Cat 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Dolce Sera 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Pauciloquent 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Marley’s Ghost 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Take Time to Dream 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Assume Nothing 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kant Beat the Rock 6.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Cloud Forest 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Grandpa’s Kid 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Mighty Atlas 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Proven Hope 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Stjames 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Gut Feeling 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Khali Magic 0 0-1
7 7 Gone and Forgotten 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Khali Magic 1.60 2.2 4-1
8 8 April Antics 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Ribot’s Valentine 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Midtown Lights 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 My First Love 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Amity Island 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Racing Colors 10.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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