Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingdom Force | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Our Keepsake | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drewmania | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Ask Watts | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Soddy J | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kingdom Force | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Aficionado | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Polterer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On a Spree | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truculent | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | T Bones Trick | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Man On the Moon | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shacks Way | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Doc | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | What a Country | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucksme | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Insightful Miss | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Code for Success | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Princess Says | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Tigress | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Velikiy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Molly of Stratford | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Our Heavenly Gift | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Bourbon On Fire | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Auden | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chadron | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Lead Foot | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crime Zone | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Prince Is My Boy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Super Nova | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Reveille Valley | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Devil’s Shadow | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Stauf | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Without Objection | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | A La Carte | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Auto Glide | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Southern Sunset | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rabbit Hound | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mazing Mark | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Third Watch | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artwell | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Livingston | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waldrip | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Notorious Sixohtwo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Capital Connection | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Duke of Duval | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | This Is Uscar | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hoby Cat | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo El Grande | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burlsworth | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charbon | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indy Charge | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Ransom | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Calrissian | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Humor Me Now | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heir to Greatness | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ain’t That a Kick | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unstable Prince | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hard to Come By | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Wully Bully | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chrome Run | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fetchs Brahm | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star Nation | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Assumption | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Point Blank | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quincy Market | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Castlewarden | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lear | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Simovic | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pineland | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baton Rouge | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Millers Rite | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Memphis Pharoah | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pancake House | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Don Corleone | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Twenty to Park | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit Scene | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Taxes | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hess | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yaqui Valley | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stuck N Snow | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chez Whiz | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holus Bolus | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready Shoes | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m an Oak | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Task | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pearcy Road | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rocket Sanders | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | God’s Country | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ryno Wrecker | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clear Echo | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willie Cat | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strato | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Dollar Eddie | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Strike Ridge | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Striker | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hayahlookatme | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Moneystrike | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bet All the Gold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.