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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Roja Ligera 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Lockbox 2.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Simple Sugar 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Maggie T 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Luna Loca 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Devilly 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Shigeko 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Shoopthereitis 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Ice Love 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Fancy Feline 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Memento Mi 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Arco Augusta 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Manny Penny 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Savage Spirit 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Irie Man 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Hair On Fire 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Jeffersons Ocean 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Triple Word Score 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ouster 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Life Changer 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Alternate Reality 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Beachwalker 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Joking Way 20.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Midlaner 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Secret Rules 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 What a Blast 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Barnstorming 1.20 1.1 2-1
2 2 South Street 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Battuta d’Oro 20.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Independent Paul 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Arrebato 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 I Love Cara 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Cicada S.) – Cicada S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miss Harriett 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ghalia Princess 0.80 1.1 2-1
5 5 Reconcile 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Anna’s Wish 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Value Area 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ghostbustin 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mouly 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Easy Play 10.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 George’s Vice 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Little Linzee 4.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Liberty Flame 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Mim 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Quick Power Nap 20.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Foxy Cara 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 2 Optic Way 4.50 1 2-1
2 3 Gentleman Joe 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 4 Mason Mania 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 10 Six Percent 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Bold Victory 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 8 Just Call Ray 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 5 Skylander 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 9 Allaboutthemoney 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 6 Wild Banker 30.00 SCRATCH
6 7 American Law 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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