Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilger (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Dilger (IRE) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yankee Drummer | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Come to Papa | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Crush | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bandoola | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reynolds Channel | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Navesink Pirate | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey N Soda | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ocala Rocket | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rapscallion | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giuro | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Haberdashery | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Marks Spirit | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Live High Live Low | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar It’s Eli | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jake’s Affection | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Last Post | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mission Mike | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rags Special | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Anadolu | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cryptonym | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Guaicaipuro | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Hutcheson S.) – Hutcheson S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beeline | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Patriot Spirit | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valiant Force | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ship to Shore | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Flash | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Improptude | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Mocha | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doctor’s Orders | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Star of the Beast | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Thingsrgettinharry | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Eastbostonbenny | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Every Four Years | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sniper Jack | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sticky McShnickens | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star of the Beast | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quester | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Urge to Merge (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calypso Charlie | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor’s Orders | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tricky Tiger | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thingsrgettinharry | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | J J Valentin | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Heat Lightning | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | New Rome | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sunny Valentine | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ipanema Princess (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Maeve (IRE) | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chick’s Shadow | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fish Mooney | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kizzy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samaritano | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Truth and Honesty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shake Your Bones | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Am the Game | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jeby | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bandero | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bold Advance | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Samaritano | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Break the Ice | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonrise Drive | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Law of the Jungle | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macuto | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nathaniel’s Hope | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Candy Street | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Noble Wave | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Society | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marche | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unequivocally | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Skylight | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Temecula | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princetown | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artful Dreamer | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Countryboysurvive | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Citizen K | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Crowley | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desolator | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Furiously | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thethrillofvictory | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swashbuckle | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz the Coast | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beganingreenpoint | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gayles Evening | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Salsa | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drinks On Me | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Serenade a Kitten | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ala Turka | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blazingly | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Demurely | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flip My Id | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barbara | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heir to the Roar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Girl Bye | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Avatal Hero | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cape Trafalgar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arthur’s Ride | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Full Screen | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Furious Anger | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Martini | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Drama | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Lady James | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kick a Rhyme (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cymbal Court | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cavu | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frozen Solid | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Admissible | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silvretta (GB) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boston Rose (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jordi’s Dream | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Better Bet | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | St. Neots | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fly Right | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mohegan | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saint in the City | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Union Trail | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Juan Valdez | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Copernicus | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stoke the Fire | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Guess | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be There | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Malibu Springs | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Paradise Perfect | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Scat Tu Tap | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Unit Economics (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Swordofhonor (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.