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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Starship Defiant 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Proud Foot 1.80 1.1 2-1
2 2 Portage 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Leave No Trace 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Dame Cinco 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bank On Anna 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Silken Dollar 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Jackson’s Dixie 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Harlan’s Bond 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 True Empress 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncle Water Flow 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Golden Purchase 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Papi On Ice 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Connect the Brocks 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Sorpreso 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Beary Funny 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Damon Runyon S.) – Damon Runyon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mischief Joke 0 0-1
2 2 Antonio of Venice 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Mischief Joke 1.80 1.5 3-1
1 1 Aelfgar 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Mad Banker 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Heavyweight Champs 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Candy Tycoon 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Colloquy 1.20 1.4 3-1
7 7 Majestic Frontier 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Phoebe’s Frosty 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Hang Tight 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Lord Gatling 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Datesfreedom 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Colonel Vargo 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Dynamite Karma 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Charlie Five O 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Honorary Degree 12.00 4 7-1
4 4 F F Rocket 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Striking Speed 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 First Deputy 4.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Mr Phil 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Anything Pazible 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (East View S.) – East View S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Caldwell Luvs Gold 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Rumint 12.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Sweet Brown Sugar 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Bernietakescharge 1.60 4.1 8-1
5 5 Thirteen Red Flags 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Soloshot 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Bustin Time 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Zhen Lou 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Miss Bourbon 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Necessaryandproper 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Dactilografa 15.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Lady Lawrence 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Jen’s Kiss 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Knight Trail 5.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Stoney Lonesome 20.00 7 13-1
12 12 Mangia 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Wild Magic 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 War Terminatrix 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Wicked Reya 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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