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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mo Bling 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ann’s Storm 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Averi Ever After 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Start Well 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Our Little Girl 5.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Realitos 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Cajun Aces 8.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Kittenofthe Court 30.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Angela’s Celerity 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Galadini 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Signing 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Bikini Bottom 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Casby 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 New Woman 3.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Hattie Bloom 4.50 6 11-1
5 5 Miss Mikos 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Custom Bobby’s 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hard Four 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Gutzy 5.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 R T’s Wildcat 8.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Patio’s Porch 4.50 7.4 14-1
8 8 Struttin Apriority 8.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Bouldering 8.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Son Carlos 8.00 8.5 16-1
13 13 Tactical Priority 4.50 10 19-1
3 3 Starport 8.00 10.4 20-1
10 10 Fireinthestorm 20.00 11 21-1
6 6 Huffs Taz a Boo 12.00 11.9 22-1
11 11 Astrologysprotege 12.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shogun Be Fast 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bee Dancer 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Alder 1.80 3.8 7-1
3 3 Bear River 4.50 5.6 10-1
5 5 Rumpusinthesky 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Motor City 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Loudermilk 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Fouralivia 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sixth Anniversary 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Pickin Ana Grinnin 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 She Told You So 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Money Well Spent 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Fort Polk 4.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Dixie Farmer 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Lovers Never Say 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Ms. Cajun Queen 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pot’s Paycheck 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Red Whistle 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Lady Athena 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Lady Cheryl’s Song 4.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Everylittlesingh 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Mo for Us 3.00 5 9-1
7 7 Getoutofdaway 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Usain d’Oro 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Our Gal Layla 10.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Littlebitofaqueen 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mesa Spirit 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Coaches Meeting 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Halmstad 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Demolition Duke 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Ghent 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 C’Est Magnifique 12.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Western Command 8.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Calibrachoa Kid 5.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Startonahighnote 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Son of a Birch 3.50 8.6 16-1
11 11 Simple Logic 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Papa Flew Bombers 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Victor Aly 12.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Cookn Wit Catman 2.50 3 6-1
8 8 Beer With Ice 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Den’s Good Grace 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Shire’s End 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Grey’s Rumor 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Silent Count 2.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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