Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trigger Happy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lips Say Bliss | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ram | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance Some Mo | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luna Vieja | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Recker Point | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What’s Up Doc | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Patton’s Tizzy | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunday Spirit | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kissofthenile | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moneystrike | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Streakin Deacon | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bet All the Gold | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Rainy Day | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Berryville Bullet | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Swift Key | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | You Vee Cee | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heritage Park | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stomping Hotrod | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Traffic Control | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marvelous Thunder | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Campisi | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holding Pattern | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Allo Enry | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reef’s Destiny | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Start Singing | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Right Trappe | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bad Diva | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pens Street | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hashtag Winner | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Undecoded | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lantern’s Candy | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My My | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Be Sheehan | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Awesome Birdie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mia Baby | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Docs Seven | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She Dazzle | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shaniah | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Koala | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ball Gown | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Abby the Bull Dawg | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tenacious Lady | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Izeonpoint | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Invaluable | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winyah Bay | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Promises to Dance | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Essential Business | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Bulletproof | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wings From Above | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keepmeinthe Moment | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diva Treva | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lofthouse | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | H. T. Xena | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Express | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bug a Boo | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lykan | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Pattern | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Flight | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Home Run Trick | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Motown Music | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Icarus | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | St Andrews | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Search Engine | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chapel Barn | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lykan | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Greener Pastures | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Doctor Nash | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Camp David | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Inexorable | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Megan’s Honor | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ben Diesel | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Order of Magnitude | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speightsville | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caballo Feliz | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ben Franklin | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Late Nite Radio | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Infiltrator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Keating | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nullarbor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Moscato | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wampus Kitten | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Big Calhouna | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She Called | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Almostgone Rocket | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Outwork Mom | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alicit Intention | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sheknows | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lithe Spirit | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s It | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pewter’s Promise | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.