Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Large | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Big Dreams | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Et’s Magic Man | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doctor Doom | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dad’s On a Roll | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky as a Seven | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amani’s Tiger | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamwithinadream | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Level Up | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Birthday Bond Rob | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whoosh | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fenwick Jack | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wrigley Reserve | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Ice Man Carlos | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rory’s Orchard | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carry Grant | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Ruler | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inside Secret | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kate’s Love | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Sierva C | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honorable Chill | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Chloe Go | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Tune | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be My Queen | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweetest Moment | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Miss Hoppertunity | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overthebluesky | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yeloma | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treasure Peace | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Her Ticket to Ride | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweetest Moment | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Woke Up a Diva | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petite Pomme Frite | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jody’s Ruby | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gray Lightning | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Diana | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Telephone Line | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missy Sixtysix | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betsy Is the Gal | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Princess Sophie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Luna T | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summary Judgment | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shell Belle | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Chamita | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heleonortiz | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Popthechampagne Ro | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Obstinate | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amaterasu | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bunny Bonus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | B Dawk | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Cork | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Bomber | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Michael | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dontmesawithme | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Factor It In | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Ernie | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hushion | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dollarization | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Music | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scaramouche | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Five Dreams | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ekati’s Verve | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jarlian | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dathoss | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | B B Bad | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Incredible | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jebologist | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zip It Scotty | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Devils Child | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boys and Bullets | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bullet Butch | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.