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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Clearly Creeps 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Chapellete 12.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Lawless Times 1.60 2.4 5-1
1 1 Rusty’s Sunrise 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mallory Unbridled 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Awree 12.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Walksonwater 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jet Rocket 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Moion 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Mallory’s Ocean 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Chuchi 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Radiant Rebel 3.50 6 11-1
7 7 D’busker 6.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Sparkle City 10.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Secretly Sweet 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Plane Talk 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 On Your Mark 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Crew Dragon 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Double Edge Sword 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Captain Cool 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Not On Herb 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Curly Jack 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Ambivalent 2.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Into the Sunrise 4.50 5.1 10-1
Ambivalent 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Olivia G 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mo Smoking 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Drewsilla 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Shes a Lucky Rebel 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Shelli’s Angel 20.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 R T’s Gem 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Smart Izzy 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tipsy Runner 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Copper Em 4.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Integrated Design 20.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Fleet Frost 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Intermittent Fast 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Reagan’s Flame 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Share the Blessing 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Blue Heavenly 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Imaboutago (IRE) 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cash Fever 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Quarrymen 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Macho Forty Five 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Ghent 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Gracious Kat 10.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 First Class Harlow 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Sir Liam 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Proud Civilian 6.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Seeking Sawyer 5.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Big Fig 8.00 10.8 20-1
6 6 Voyant 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Night Out 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Justifreak 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Carthage Cajun 20.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Sugar Hook 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Special Dispatch 4.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Courageous Cupid 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 King Mendelssohn 4.50 6.8 13-1
12 12 Sweetalkingbourbon 4.50 7.5 14-1
4 4 Magical Road 8.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Devilsgotacause 12.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Sabi 8.00 10 19-1
14 14 Fast Solution 8.00 12.5 24-1
2 2 Noble Eagle 8.00 12.9 24-1
10 10 Might as Well 8.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Family Creed 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Our Heatseeker 5.00 7 13-1
6 6 Skinny Bobby 6.00 7.2 14-1
14 14 Native Star 5.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Gobot 4.50 8.5 16-1
2 2 Carlos’s Mama 12.00 10.1 19-1
13 13 Iron N Steel 6.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 True Crimson 8.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 Ide Like Hawaii 4.00 10.6 20-1
3 3 Half Crazy 15.00 10.7 20-1
8 8 Star Ready 15.00 10.8 20-1
9 9 Perfect Strike 30.00 12.9 24-1
12 12 Little Warrior 15.00 13.7 26-1
7 7 Chief Kimosabi 20.00 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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