Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pylon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heffner | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steely Danza | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bee by the Sea | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maxim Moment | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hide the Ransom | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Relishment | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Haney Boys | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Jones | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Brown Shoes | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ava K’s Boy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Goodtime Charlie | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Fly Over | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Angry Man | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Almond Cider | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Uhtred | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Juan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Extreme Force | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nick the Cardshark | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Guy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Porsupuesto | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Meru | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catch My Vibe | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indoctrinate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Motion | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Milano | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Achilles Heel | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Centurion | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Retweet | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Impetud | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fictionalfairytale | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | North Pole | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Liberty Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Modern Midas | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caddy Man | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Ash | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sailor’s Return | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rex Kwon Do | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alta Fox | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smarthumor | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eddiemush | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omerta Code | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dee Jay | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simovitch | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Demon | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eloquist | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Concealed Carry | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New Commission | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rich’s Way | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shpilkes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Powwa of Love | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashndynamite | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scott Alaia | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catalon | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spanikopita | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broad Jumper | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clout Chaser | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whyisshesoolucky | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vitaemi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Snappy Ride | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Magicnthemoonlight | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One More Scoop | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Young Squire | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eagles Cry | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Final Shot | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veeson | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Geebert | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Center Mid Maddie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Counterspy | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Imagination | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Romance | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roadtriptonowhere | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Boys Answer | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noneedtoworry | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | It’s Game Time | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Look Out Lambo | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Macho Eddie | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Launch | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Excursion | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Makabim | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Twins Sneakers | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Long Gray Line | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strum and Pluck | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marco Island | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
