Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hot Rod Rumble | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Face Abarrio | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moving Pictures | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold in Them Hills | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fight Fiercely | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eastern Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Autumn | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy’s Smile | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Echo in Eternity | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Natural | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mischief Motion | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chateau | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Graywing | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talkin Pharoah | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Horn of Plenty | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Heat | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Beat Me | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ms Hayley | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Redheads | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dance With Me Babe | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Army of Thoughts | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shasi | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pauciloquent | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proper Grammar | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Mr. Ripple | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Duke of Gloucester | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Macallan | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Shipsational | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Cheeky Tico | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Centavo | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Magical Ways | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vegas Weekend | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vintage | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Linda | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trade Secret | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gringotts | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Mango | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Killy Start | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sweet as Sugar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Clever Forever | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Horse Be With You | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aula | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | October Bliss | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Provision | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Huntsman | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Supreme Being | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wanna Winna | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dolce Veloce | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peony | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brooklyn Dantz | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Luna Patina | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Welcome Back Babe | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Love Torres | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Troubled Luck | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aunt Yola | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Adult Entertainer | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inflammabelle | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Better Be Smart | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Geopolitics | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.