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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 22, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chi Town Hustler 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Notion 10.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Thundertakesdalead 20.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Carlos Punch 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Uncle Nick 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Julia’s Warrior 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Criminal Defense 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Let’s Go Random 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Time to Meddle 6.00 5.8 11-1
Notion 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cajun Blast 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Taysom 8.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Prince Cosmo 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Foe 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Beautiful Life 1.20 5.6 11-1
5 5 Gloria’s Boy 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Port Royal 3.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 U Rascal U 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Tilt a Whirl 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wicked Trick 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hoodlum 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Eye Dee Kay 3.50 5 9-1
7 7 Jolly Tommy 5.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Second of July 4.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Coach Adams 6.00 7 13-1
9 9 My Bariley 8.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Lil Bro Coop 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Fabled Ruler 30.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Yes Point 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Slick and Fast 6.00 1 2-1
15 15 Field of Vision 6.00 2.5 5-1
13 13 I Don’t Venmo 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Tonteria 3.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Lead Me 3.50 5.4 10-1
14 14 Relentless Dancer 6.00 5.7 11-1
16 16 Runninginthemoney 5.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Malaki Empire 10.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Pacificislandtime 3.50 7.3 14-1
10 10 Sikara Sikara 12.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Passing Judgment 8.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Single Shot 5.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Callinginthenight 8.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 Scoring Drive 20.00 11.3 21-1
11 11 My Pal Sweet 12.00 15.3 29-1
6 6 Jays Holiday 12.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kajun Karma 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Macho Beanie 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Duvee 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 The Boss Soss 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Courtman 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Nervy 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Tambourine Star 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Throwin’ Shade 10.00 9 17-1
9 9 Peso Pesado 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mt. Masada 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Mugen 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hub City 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 I Am Beautiful 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Notice Me Too 5.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Mrs. Katz 4.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Jalouse 10.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Catchyalater 20.00 9 17-1
9 9 Computadora 6.00 10 19-1
4 4 Break the Brules 6.00 11.4 22-1
3 3 Total Class 8.00 11.6 22-1
13 13 Titania’s Dream 8.00 11.6 22-1
10 10 Myiyla 5.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Creole Charlie 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lunar Module 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Saint Selby 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Upstriker 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Thinkaboutit 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Gunner Bay 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Verb 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Dancin With Angels 20.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Silver Wings 12.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Hard Rye Guy 12.00 10.9 21-1
10 10 Jerry’s Eighty 8.00 11.9 23-1
9 9 Gimme Some Mo 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 The Speedy One 3.50 1 2-1
13 13 Chad’s Flashy Ways 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Razor Crest 4.50 1.7 3-1
12 12 Nopenottonight 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Vega Star 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Dynamic Moon 15.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 White Ice 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Leroux 6.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Bad Brad 12.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Prince Perfecta 6.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 Doolgaroux 6.00 10.2 19-1
14 14 Kee Jee 10.00 10.7 20-1
4 4 Mo Can Do 15.00 12.6 24-1
8 8 Gran Chico 20.00 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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