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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 23, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Bobby Two Shot’s 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fran’s Star 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Alvarado Cat 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Saint Gabriel 4.50 6 11-1
15 15 Chad’s Flashy Ways 3.50 7.3 14-1
9 9 Midnight Halo 20.00 7.7 15-1
13 13 Jayde’s Bandit 30.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Jackson D 15.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Causeway Benny 3.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 Navarrian 5.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 Who Is Chief 15.00 11.1 21-1
8 8 Achromedoutcat 20.00 11.7 22-1
4 4 Orleans Tourist 12.00 11.9 22-1
14 14 Our Determination 6.00 12.7 24-1
10 10 Lost My Bag 20.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Costa Rising S.) – Costa Rising S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mangum 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Custom Bobby’s 8.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Autumns Strong Man 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Flower Cat 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Relentless Dancer 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Unified Report 10.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Swot Analysis 5.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Brian’s Iron Mike 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 My Pal Mattie 3.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Sharp Charlie 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Crescent City Oaks) – Crescent City Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sister Ella 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lightofmaine 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Accommodate Eva 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Saved by Grace 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Platinum Minit 4.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Clearly a Test 5.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Tommie G 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Emily’s Bullet 8.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Pip Squeek 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Without Cause 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ragtime Lady 6.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Union Mist 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Saranac Lake 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Mischief My Way 10.00 6.1 12-1
13 13 Lucky Speech 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Purr Factor 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Arijana’s Pearl 20.00 9 17-1
15 15 Capo Donna 10.00 9.9 19-1
12 12 Lady Chai 10.00 11.4 21-1
11 11 War Siren (FR) 3.50 12.4 23-1
7 7 Justify Perfection 8.00 12.4 23-1
16 16 Luna Calante 12.00 13.8 26-1
2 2 Carnane (IRE) 15.00 14.1 27-1
8 8 Win for Speight 12.00 14.9 28-1
14 14 She a Baddie 8.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stinger Bee 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Devilsgotacause 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Corporal 3.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Mister Lincoln 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 House United 6.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Charnico 8.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Fast Solution 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 In Writing 6.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Coach Campbell 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Tiverton (GB) 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Interlock Empire 10.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Brown Liquor Man 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Athens Moon 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Battle Scars 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Calicoco 4.00 8 15-1
6 6 Quaternion 8.00 8.1 15-1
13 13 El Perfecto 15.00 8.7 17-1
12 12 Simple Logic 10.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Solid Country Gold 4.50 11.5 22-1
5 5 Moment of Stardom 8.00 13.1 25-1
3 3 Devil’s Harvest 12.00 13.1 25-1
11 11 Z Z’s Prince 20.00 13.6 26-1
14 14 Deer Crossing 8.00 14.4 27-1
1 1 Faith Runner 30.00 15.8 30-1
16 16 Beaumont Red 15.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Crescent City Derby) – Crescent City Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blue Eyed George 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Spinning Aces 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Sonofaship 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 El Dinero 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Good and Stout 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Sounds Like Power 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Gamer Nate 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Take Charge J J 12.00 5.8 11-1
El Dinero 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Tom Benson Memorial S.) – Tom Benson Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Messidor (IRE) 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tufani 8.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Oeuvre 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Gloria’s Princess 15.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Hidden Connection 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Join the Dance 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Spirit And Glory (IRE) 4.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Delahaye 6.00 5.2 10-1
14 14 Freydis the Red (FR) 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Watch This Birdie 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Girl Named Charlie 20.00 6 11-1
13 13 Not So Close 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Flatter Me Silly 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Tryinmyheartout 10.00 7.4 14-1
Oeuvre 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (New Orleans Classic S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard) – New Orleans Classic S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Red Route One 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Touchuponastar 3.00 2 4-1
9 9 Best Actor 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Super Corinto (ARG) 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Velocitor 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Gasoline 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Black Belt 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Happy American 30.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Money Supply 4.50 5.2 10-1
10 10 Lure Him In 10.00 6.1 11-1
Touchuponastar 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Muniz Memorial Classic S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation) – Muniz Memorial Classic S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Adhamo (IRE) 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Webslinger 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Irish Aces 15.00 3 6-1
2 2 Strong Quality 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Johny’s Fireball 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Beatbox 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Gigante 10.00 5.2 10-1
13 13 I’m Very Busy 4.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Risk Manager 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Point Proven 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Rising Empire 30.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Palazzi 20.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 Woods N Water 50.00 10.6 20-1
I’m Very Busy 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Fair Grounds Oaks Presented By Fasig-tipton) – Fair Grounds Oaks Presented By Fasig-tipton

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 V V’s Dream 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Alpine Princess 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Our Pretty Woman 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tarifa 1.60 3.8 7-1
6 6 Intricate 2.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Lucy Got Game 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Midsummer March 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Accommodate Eva 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Honor Marie 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hall of Fame 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Triple Espresso 20.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Catching Freedom 4.00 2.9 6-1
12 12 Track Phantom 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Agate Road 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Antiquarian 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Common Defense 6.00 10.1 19-1
6 6 Awesome Ruta 30.00 10.9 21-1
9 9 Real Men Violin 20.00 11.1 21-1
11 11 Tuscan Gold 8.00 11.3 21-1
8 8 Next Level 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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