Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afilada | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Take Time to Dream | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Banker | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afilada | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proper Grammar | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alterina | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bravo Regina | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | River Tay (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belle of the Ball | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Will Be Famous | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Voleuse | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostly Girl | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frannie Lew | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Walk With Me | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stress Reliever | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thirteen Red Flags | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Shoe Lady | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mysaria | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poseidon’s Mist | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Irish Jackson | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rayya Valentine | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shelly | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dolce Sera | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lavon | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alley’s Song | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Fortuna | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Camera | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Autumn’s Turn | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Save Time | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catching Heat | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Thinking | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cracklin Cat | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yingle Bells | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Trafalgar | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Calling | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colloquy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Glimpse | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Khafre | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Predicted | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Armor | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Accretive | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’smyhoneybadger | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maker’s Candy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winit | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Synthesis | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bold Endeavor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rocket and Roll | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Lights | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zapruder | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Disappearance | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dads Good Runner | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Light | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thistle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Water Flow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.