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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Emm Ess Eh 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Solving Progress 1.40 3.7 7-1
3 3 Feelin So Lucky 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Maddie Ten 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 I Can Do It 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Surprisingly Sweet 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Navani 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Caroline Krystyna 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Golden Heart 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Wise and Elegant 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Share the Blessing 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Mischievous Doll 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Profitunity 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 For Cryin Out Loud 30.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Payout Ratio (IRE) 10.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Nuwanda 30.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Lilly Simone 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Visby 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Morning Thoughts 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Aequor 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Big Rowdy Dan 1.80 4 8-1
4 4 Addy’s Laddy T N T 3.50 6 11-1
3 3 Heads Or Tails 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Austin From Boston 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Island d’Lite 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rakia 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Derbyness 1.60 1.6 3-1
2 2 In the Dance 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Magical Monarch 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Buckin’ Dreamer 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mister Agent 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Eddie Felson 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Dahlia S.) – Dahlia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jubilee Bridge 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Safeen 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Five Towns (GB) 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Present Moment (IRE) 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Brown Suga Babe 50.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Ravella 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Neecie Marie 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Olivia Maralda (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Royal Seamstress 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Riley G 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 How Sweet She Is 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Mo Traffic 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sweet Shugs 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Girls House 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Sultry Sally H 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (King T. Leatherbury S.) – King T. Leatherbury S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Brother Conway 30.00 1 2-1
5 5 Witty 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Outlaw Kid 5.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Future Is Now 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Fluid Situation 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Charging 20.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Fore Harp 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Bump N Run 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Coffeewithchris 30.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Yes and Yes 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Grooms All Bizness 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 John Hall 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Weber City Miss S.) – Weber City Miss S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Harriett 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jeanne Marie 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 Shimmering Allure 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 Call Another Play 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Grammy Girl 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Band of Gold 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Determined Driver 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Aoife’s Magic 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Henry S. Clark S.) – Henry S. Clark S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Eons 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 English Bee 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Forever Souper 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Gray’s Fable 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Dataman 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Heaven Street 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Luigi’s Spirit 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Adero 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hay Chief 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Federico Tesio S.) – Federico Tesio S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Speedyness 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Copper Tax 3.50 1.3 2-1
10 10 Inveigled 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Circle P 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Startswithadream 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Lat Long 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Celtic Contender 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Classic Joke 30.00 4 8-1
9 9 Carolo Rapido 8.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Malinois 30.00 9 17-1
6 6 Mission Beach 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Come Rain Or Shine 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 No Foolin Mo 4.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Righthere Rightnow 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mortal Sin 10.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Sneaking Suspicion 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Mission North 8.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Forceful 6.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Yangarra 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pineapple Lane 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dyna Point 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 White Series 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Primed to Go 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Thielen 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Saisir Le Jour 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Restrike 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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