Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Union Lights | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ski Country | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tepeu | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Maestro | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cumberland Blues | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Light | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ten Ten | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sendera | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apollonia Vitelli | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jingle Jangle | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Liana | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Isola | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beary Funny | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Quick Hammer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paschal Moon | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beary Funny | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | G Munning | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Arc | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Solo in Paris | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vettriano | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Schlomo | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He Has It All | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aelfgar | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vettriano | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mama’s Middie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Browne | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Hustle | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | City Mischief | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twenty Six Black | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Works for Me | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Destin’s Mission | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreampoint | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Emotion | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Feathers Road | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seaver | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Moonracer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Me ‘n Sap | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Market Alert | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Night Effect | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Principe d’Oro | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storming Chrome | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Debate | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Andy Cant | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strapped | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surface to Air | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelbis Game | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Digital | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khafre | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Frontier | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Higher Quality | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Six Percent | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Predicted | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allaboutthemoney | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Centavo | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Rocket and Roll | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Spirit | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Operation Torch | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ruse | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Ghostlyprince | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scramble | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Torigo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Al’s Rocket | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Have You Heard | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Assume Nothing | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Reddington | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ramblin’ Wreck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Seeking Unity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Grandpa’s Kid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Paddington | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Vagrancy S.) – Vagrancy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leave No Trace | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Hot Fudge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Pond | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beguine | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asset Purchase | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leave No Trace | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imonra | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Future | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beach Cruiser | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gram | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Weekend Rags | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dusk | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bern Rosey Bern | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quick Power Nap | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Linarite | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rumint | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancypants Juliana | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | U Should B Dancing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Latest Edition | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ghostbustin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Astonesthrowaway | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Scarlet’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | City Blocks | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Justdeny | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chantilly Road | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | The Taco Lady | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn’s Turn | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Our Finest Hour (FR) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Opera de Ravel (FR) | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Tiff | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Just So Pretty | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | True Myth | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Goodnight My Angel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Greatest Gift | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Maturity Date | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Beautiful (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.