Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Count Daddy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coronation Time | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A B C Ya | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love in May | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ikat | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Chinito | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dyna Mast | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Mischief | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amani’s Tiger | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Awesome Strike | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Minxzluckystarfyre | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | High Stakes | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Stellar Lute | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brady Bear | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reel Well | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Will’s Music | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Get Like Mike | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Gettin’downonit | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wired In | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inspired Irish | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celtic Sea | 20.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ballyhoo Prince | 12.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Extremely Gruntled | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Doll | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Popover Gal | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shining Spirit | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spencer Tiara | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A P M Notion | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Duckpins | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Upsidedown Man | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shape Note | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gatto Be Proud | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evenly Divided | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Better Luck | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reap What You Sow | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Lance | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cassius | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Big Enchilada | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freeze the Fire | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Medagooch | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Into the Sauce | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Divino Nino | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Skippy | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Penny Loafer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ascribe | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Az Sharp | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fouroneohsmokeshow | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yangarra | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pietrelcina | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Rock Bullet | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Graft | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cold Plunge | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rocky’s Adventure | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Longbranch Lou | 2.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Cagefighter | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Scorestosettle | 30.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ijamsville | 20.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sin Permiso | 30.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Burroughs Cay | 30.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fire and Knives | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brysons Option | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surfboard | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tubtimsiam | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not Thistimerandy | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chica Chuck | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Homecoming King | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ree Nee’s Six | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pudd’n N Pie | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catalina Cruzin | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maddie Ten | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khozy Colby | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bunny Hop | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poseidon’s Mist | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lusty | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kobe’s Smile | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mosey | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stage Call | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emm Ess Eh | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Police Woman | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Funzalo | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surprisingly Sweet | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
