Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Breeze the Bayou | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame Dennis | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Goggles | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ahorsewithnoname | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Kozan | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vito’s Brother | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kinsman Redeemer | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Woo | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lyla’s Lucky Boy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Empire | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Game Energy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kurutu | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Dream | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stubold | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Widerthanamile | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onemorsilverdollar | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Garuda | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Tapatia | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Musthavebeenlove | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bullet Valentina | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Field of Blossoms | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thank the Academy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chris’s Motown Gal | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Monique | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Mikey | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Breezer | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Maxime | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jabran | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | T B Twelve Always | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calypso Charlie | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pack Plays | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orb Alpha | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fastest | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fregon | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Urge to Merge (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Howard Wolowitz | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lamcaro | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ours for Sure | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dikembe | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glasweigian | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nando | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Okay Fine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mad Madame Mim (IRE) | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sudoku Terry | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trendy | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Now Showing | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sprezzatura | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cabernet | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Judge Judith | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Captain Anthony | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hey River | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mufrih | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harrington | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Samaritano | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flatter Me | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ensign Skip | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Euphoria Star | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eyes of Champion | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dr Bayter | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Improptude | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Billy Go | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unequivocally | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Beast | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jigsaw | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steeler Mischief | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Speed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Favorite Topic | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Centrodelantero | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Blue | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honesto | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yacowlef (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Husband Material | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lights of Broadway | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.