Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quebrancho | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Raider | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sixwillberich | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coal Boss | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master of the Nite | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Right On Target | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Key | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Rose | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La La Rose | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marmalade Skye | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sing a Little Song | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sister Kisses | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mustang Lady | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purse Thief | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Akinmusire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Purse Thief | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Concrete Cruiser | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Turnbuckle | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brereton’s Baytown | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beijing Boss | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit Rags | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Financial Whiz | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Mor Stones | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reb | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Galpin Sunday | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Serata Six | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Skynet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Misbehavin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Fantasy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Gallo de Fuego | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Patty Van Twinkle | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | End of Innocence | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Despo’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Appeal | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galadini | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Lilibet | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hedge These Bets | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spicey Valentine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Inexorable | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Background | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | O P Firecracker | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elusive Target | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Master Game | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Flight | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Phantom Ride | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Powder | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Virasana | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Queen Candy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lite It Up Louie | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sherbet Fountain | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Motown Mika | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Quiero Dinero | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Do You Realize | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Collect a Lil | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Almond Fudge | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iced Mocha | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Crushed Ice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Rip | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Mischief | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risk It | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Force | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mission Beach | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edified | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epic Battle | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Grant | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Reckoning Force | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deer District | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gentle Soul | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risk Manager | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gray’s Fable | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Diamond | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Georgie W | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Kabong | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fair Dinkum | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Scoobie Quando | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Miranda Rights | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lincoln Highway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Harlocap | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kigali | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Up On the Edge | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Georgia On E’smind | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Computadora | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chiquita Reina | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Anna T | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Naughty Miss | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kate’s Concerto | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Union Dame | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bright Lady Day | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grace Given | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mikey’s Magic Gal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miss Maximus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Oh Macarena | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.