Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Buttered Toast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Miah | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Omelet | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chrome’s Angel | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seattle Signal | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Jewel | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thunderheavyrain | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Race for Pinks | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tricky Magician | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alicia’s Kid | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One More Brew | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea to Air | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commander Joe | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grainger County | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Gizmo | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hyper Awakening | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Gypsy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit O’Tipperary | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Chances | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Birch Bark | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brit | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ladies Rum | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annia Cornificia F | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Standing Strong | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rumours Fly | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Powaqa | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Motorin’ Maggie | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sake and Sushi | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Lasso | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Reload’s Rebel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sooner Lunar | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pat’s Gamble | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Musical Spell | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fabled Prince | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valyrian Sky | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valley Victory | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s a Fluke | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tempora | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dixieribsy | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Bobbit | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taylormoon | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Know How (GB) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hipnotizada | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hekla’s Aura | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Tunes | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swirling Dancer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Flame | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Sip Sally | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Voice From Above | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Looks Lucky to Me | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crafty Oaks | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candid Candace | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mitole Power | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | April de Velp | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Home for a Rest | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Wellington | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosieposie | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Assistant | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Echo Seven | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Tenacious | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Time to Watch | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hobbie Class | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | First Round Pick | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tatoosonmysoul | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Essa | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Yoga | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
