Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandman | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Innovator | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jujubee | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sandman | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil of Ramadi | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nantz | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thunder Roll | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aviator Gui | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Nelson | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Banned for Life | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wajda | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marche | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready as Ever | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Scholar | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tomorrow’s Wish | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secret Rules | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saffa’s Day | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disco Deano | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cold as Hell | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Bullion Bomber (IRE) | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon’s Hope | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zeebear | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miss Fashionista | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bertrille | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mim | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Kimmie | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wish List | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | My Cara Mia Mine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Highway Harmony | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Evie Does It | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | From Hello | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Artemis Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Alley’s Song | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Magic Eight Ball | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spiritual Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dashing Della | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grab the Glory | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Til There Was You | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil Blue Dress | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jay’s Love | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toot Your Horn | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pauciloquent | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Saratoga Derby Invitational S.) – Saratoga Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Trikari | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legend of Time (GB) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Majesty (GB) | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carson’s Run | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First World War | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deterministic | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fulmineo | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Izzy d’Oro | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenacious Leader | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Concrete Cruiser | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Clock Tower | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tenacious Leader | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Governing Party | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Statesman | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Presence | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Boondocker | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sam’s Rocket | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Davy Crockett | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hammerhead | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Valuation Metric | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | English Law | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Saratoga Special S.) – Saratoga Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Showcase | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Good Directions | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoken Wicked | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Keep It Easy | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Showcase | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Touchy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Global Legend | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Resort | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ace It | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Force | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Troy S.) – Troy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Outlaw Kid | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Step Forward | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thin White Duke | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Surveillance | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Disarmed | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Xy Speed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Buck | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cogburn | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sosua Summer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Big Invasion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Grooms All Bizness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Witty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mischievous Angel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Fanduel Fourstardave H.) – Fanduel Fourstardave H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Ottoman Fleet (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carl Spackler (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | More Than Looks | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Money Supply | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Quality | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Major Dude | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Master of The Seas (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Printrack | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dot’s Dollar | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poppy’s Pride | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Downtownchalybrown | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banyan Breeze | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | M B’s Munning | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Got Thunder | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Galway S.) – Galway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Baraye | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Halina’s Forte | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Value Area | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Degree | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Terreno | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Amidst Waves | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sunday Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | She’s Always Rosie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Greavette | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ever So Sweet (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Star of Mystery (GB) | 0.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kairyu (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pipsy (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.