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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pretty Lily 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Sunny Side Up 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Tan Pam 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Mucho Misstique 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dixie Music 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Jess’s Moment 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Pelosi 3.50 7.2 14-1
7 7 Paul’s Tricky Tale 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 My Brown Eyed Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 The Last Jet 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Gwen Stacy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rustys Gfivefifty 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sensible Jim 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Twixter 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Indirectly 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Wizard Serrat 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Dad’s On a Roll 2.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Hibachi 4.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Jw’s Third Mischie 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 The Twins Sneakers 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mega Charlie 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Flat Lucky 0.80 1.7 3-1
3 3 Holdtheflight 10.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Teewinot Pass 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Midnight Act 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Omerta Code 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Royal Upstart 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Keystormrising 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Napolitan 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Spanish Girl 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Go Chloe Go 20.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ali’s Jersey Girl 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Warriors Jewel 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bonita Lassie 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Whyisshesoolucky 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Mercy Mercy 5.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Tomarie 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Anna Rocks 2.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Luli’s Dancer 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Sirenetta 12.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Lulinda’s Heart 10.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Miss Loyalty 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gabe 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hotpot 2.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Hide the Ransom 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Chain Reaction 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Cousin Andrew 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Caddy Man 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Star Weaver 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Jack Beanstalk 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Porsupuesto 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Black Ice 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ambitiously Placed 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 La Cienega 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Jsk Lucky’s Pushpa 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Bunny Bonus 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Peach Perfect 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Dixie Groove 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Obstinate 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Winterfell 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 We Live This Game 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Haizum 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sunday Spirit 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Wincham 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Evasive Moves 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Zio Salino 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ignite the Light 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dazzy 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Frosted Diamond 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Diane’s Merlot 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Arrogante 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Tempest Rising 5.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Sundria 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dream Knight 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Secret Alliance 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Moon Dog 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Boom Boom Kaboom 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Swing Oil 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 I Once Stood Alone 10.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 Reckless Place 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Eddiemush 5.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Modern Midas 15.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Whiskey Prize 15.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Wynn Giant 20.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Connecting 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Mighty Minion 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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