Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Polk County Derby) – Polk County Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ab Boogie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy 123 | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perrys Special K | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic King Feet | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Painted Hocks | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Sparrow | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kool Lil Wink | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tinys First Cowboy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summerhills Cowgirl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Really Kool Corona | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Terrace Hill S.) – Terrace Hill S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Five Bar Phi | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ec Wagon | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Duke of Cartel | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ts Koko Inmyjeans | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ts Jess Time Forbeer | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dashin Davey Crocket | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weedy Set Go | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ts Buy Me a Corona | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Badrapidfastcat | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jesstrong Corona | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Future Of Iowa S.) – Future Of Iowa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Foxy Cowgirl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rm Flyeasycash | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vals Sizzling Lips | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Racing the Rails | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy and Corona | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queens Grace | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blessed Be the Name | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summerhills Cowgirl | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Windys Sweet Favorit | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chloes Rockette | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go to the Wood | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dash of Tres | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Futurity) – Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cr Freighttrain | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prize Flyter | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Finn | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ajs Favorite Ia | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divas Lil Wagon | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trapper Gurl | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trs Snot Nose Kid | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss Me I Am Famous | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our First Ferarri | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Th Tres of Red | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harry Blueblood | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Surprise | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Esperanza’s Spirit | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset for Sandra | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baxter | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toms Prospector | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Takeoff Time | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Donna Reed S.) – Donna Reed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Interstella | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Happiness | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Stormin | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ellll E | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Ain’t I | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peggy Rules | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Iowa Classic Distaff Sprint S.) – Iowa Classic Distaff Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hanks Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Addababy | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ourpeppermintcandy | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Demidanu | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Addasquecktoit | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fit and Famous | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Dan Johnson Sprint S.) – Dan Johnson Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wildatlanticstorm | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wearacap | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Last Chance | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time Goes On | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin the Dad Bod | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palace Guard | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Governor Terry E. Branstad S.) – Governor Terry E. Branstad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Luke | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t Life Grand | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seventeen Black | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Luke | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Finish Up | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Minecraft Maniac | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Succession | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warren L | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Iowa Breeders’ Derby) – Iowa Breeders’ Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dawson’s Storm | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Off Time | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Specialsortastorm | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom to Speed | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sincerely Mine | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strollin Norman B | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orphan Sandy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Iowa Sorority S.) – Iowa Sorority S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Unspoken Truth | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kanojo | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aintnoshakin Kid | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alexiana | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mingo | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous Bria | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackie Sparrow | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kanjeng | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Finlond | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Iowa Breeders’ Oaks) – Iowa Breeders’ Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gisele’s Map | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shezawildstorm | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jaydensqueenoharts | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Heart’s On Fire | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | That’s Our Vision | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreamin It Up | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet I’m Not | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C’Mon Lucky | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Cash | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Iowa Cradle S.) – Iowa Cradle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Run for Gold | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amorosa | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Band’s Free Spirit | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Man Stan | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On a Hunch | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Virtue’s Reward | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Lute | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Better Than Good | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Five Charlie | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Can Do Andrew | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.