Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Estilo Unico | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allenhurst | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet and Feisty | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vongole | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Mia | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Xochil | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Mayhem | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derby Effort | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Lad | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baltasar | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tie Breaker | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | DeSantis | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Osprey | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pistol Or Shotgun | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Afternoon Heat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crabcakes N Beer | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Authentic Kingdom | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Ploy | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pay Billy | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crabcakes N Beer | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whizbang | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quahog Republic | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fur Elise | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Intuitive Wisdom | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Myluckeyvalentine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Phil’s On the Run | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Batter Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sullivan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cc Candy Man | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Rose E Holiday | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Six the Hard Way | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnificent Pearl | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matoula | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Out of Luck | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angelas Party Girl | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bootsy’s Merlot | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Always Connected | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nurse Rachett | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Head of the Class | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pilote Comete | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Matt’s Luck | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good as He Gets | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Trouble | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Opportune Notion | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swinging Solo | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saucy Ham | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Into It | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | A G Diamond | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Truly | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silk War | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two by Two | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chuck Adams | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Card Trick | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trevesso | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khoolzan | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Candy Corn | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Redolfo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kerness | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Collection Day | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tia Mayin | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Recovery | 0.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Udidn’tpay | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ima Silver Lady | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woke Up a Diva | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Boss Lady | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Cafe | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.