Site icon Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Armaleese 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Aledean 1.40 1.9 4-1
2 2 Prima Bella 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Holiday Cruise 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 F J’s Warrior 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Miss Rosie T 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 La Palabra 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Golden Bling 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fire Vision 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Madelyn’s Hit 10.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Lovelyredstilettos 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Suzy Doll’s Ready 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lady Hopper 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Expect a Dancer 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Tearduc 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Golden Barcents 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Special Strike 5.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Kinsley Grace 4.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Majestic Rags 8.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Thundering Desire 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 This Gray Mischiev 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Boston Elle 8.00 6 11-1
11 11 Pitchatizzy 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Candy Girl Miss 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Jenny’s Day 10.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 At First Light 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dreamy Deal 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wanna Winna 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Brilliant Colors 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Silent Power 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Fabled Ruler 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Special Moment 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Uncle Nick 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Shankinstine 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Z’s Guitar 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Charlie’s Creed 4.50 5.9 11-1
9 9 Big Brother 20.00 6.6 12-1
12 12 It’s a Bird 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Seehoss 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Garnet Jubilee 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Classy Shipman 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Mor Jazz 8.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Over Paid 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Western Afleet 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Triple Red Aces 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Gracious Kat 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Tommy Six Fingers 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 All Country 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Flash Freddie 20.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Windtapper Win 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Yes Jack 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 All American Pat 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Coushatta Cutie 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Run Away Samari 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tap Iron Fist 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Daddy’s Cinderella 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Field of Lights 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Taken It 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Five Leaf Clover 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Galaxy Affair 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Long Legged Lady 10.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Cozy Courtney 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Costa Lady 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Copter 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Slither 12.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Holy Bayou 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 War Song 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Reckless Ransom 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Mucho Marvin 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sparkin 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Samurai’s Grandson 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Hostile Afleet 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Our Freddie Mac 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Minor Discrepancy 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Last Attack 5.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Heavenly Deal 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 You’re On Mute 15.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Magical Mark 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Habanero Tom 20.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Mazing Mark 4.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Way Out Front 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Bobby Boy 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Marcus Gift 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cupcake Cowboy 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 We Call Him Doc 3.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Quick Zong 12.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Velocidad 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 I’m a Night Train 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Impressive Bidder 10.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Star Apriority 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Mr. Ronnie 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Rip Rules 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Sweet Candy Boy 15.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Coach Sam P 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tap to Connect 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version