Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | In Timing | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Unshakable | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Xenon | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mattinata | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bubbles Up | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lily Bird | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Personify | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Victory | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Laguna Seca | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Botanical Gardens | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | In Other Words | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phoenix of Wit (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boombox Betty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lindsay Smiles | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Dust | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sand Wedge | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Field of Blossoms | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiki | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Kingdom | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Fortune Cookie | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Vision | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oleg | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atention to Detail | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Koctel War | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Babyback | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Latch the Hatch | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nothingsubtle | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Candy Apple | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flood Zone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Joe Di Baggio | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Play King | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bird Wildcat | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun’s Magic | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Money Song | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Friends Beer | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Undalay | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Leroy Brown | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Premiado | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honor That Dude | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grey Shadow | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold N Breezy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Skull Honor | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hyper Venom | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Ascot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Auda Be Lucky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mega Don | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Doctor Jeff | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rolling On | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Zero | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highly Flammable | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Future | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Competitive Saint | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louie the Sun King | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classicstateofmind | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Principito | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Dove | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seminole Sally | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Five Eyes Onmichel | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Karter’s Baby Blue | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Chutzpah | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lunetta Jak | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tree C’s Kai | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amata | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neoprene | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Team Captain | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lomachenko | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joe From Kiev | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Las Olas | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapture Bay | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chacharero | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Divining Stone | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Daniel | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Antillean | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ambushed | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peyton’s Day | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Battle Call | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Abarrio | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anamnestic | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Runner | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whiskey Park | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quester | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sociallongdistance | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blue Slide Park | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Earnings | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Mutaawid | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guaranteed Speck | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jades Jay | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swashbuckle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stroke of Midnight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Star of Saturn | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Julee’s Legacy | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Palace | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adios Babe | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vayesta | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Pryce | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Eyed Beauty | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Atalanta Alexandra | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kaliman | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oconee Life | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Titan | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Highland Peak | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Will of a Warrior | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gentleman Caller | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prince David | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Shall B First | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Growth Mindset | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Winooski | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ocala Rocket | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Beauty Bolt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Vaduz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.