Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Half Full | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loudthundrhevyrain | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cajun Cyclone | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gildersleeve | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Out Runner | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kit Kat Kidd | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skippa | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Back Bayou | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heza Sexy Zong | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunset War | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Half a Buck | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Apriority Avenger | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Speightful One | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patio’s Porch | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Uncle Leon | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taysom | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deal With Him | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cigar Van | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Gigi | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Napoleonic Code | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cheatin Charlie | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Turbine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Double Trap | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Real Action | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hard Candy Kisses | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dat’s a Goode One | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lexi’s Fury | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uno Pea | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Lady Bulls Eye | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Cute | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mallory’s Ocean | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Day Storm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prado’s Priority | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alterana | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hardly Able | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Premium | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hostile Afleet | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tee Burns | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In the Arch | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carbon Stryker | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Affirm Chief | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Half an Apple | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moment to Preach | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tuscan Saint | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elwin | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Kaiulani | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lagunera | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laryscountrygirl | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marielita | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trakas | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Slug Bug | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mary Jack | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mumblebee | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zing | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Emityaaz | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | J Z’s First | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Little Girl | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seriously Sassy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Be a Bandit | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harlans Warrior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cashew | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hardly Mischievous | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ring Twice | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Prodigy Paradise | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guitar Doctor | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Astrologysprotege | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sassi D | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drewmazing | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doublediamond Deal | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Otra Cosa | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximus Freedom | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby’s Last Dance | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | I’m a Night Train | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Knight’s Gold | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Beast | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bootlegger Bay | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muncle | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Festival | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Country Hit | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Three Sevens | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lt. Tent | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sixteen Degrees | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Romancing Ms Judy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
