Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Calabrian Queen | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Early Dawn | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weather Map | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calera Love | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Requestforproposal | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying I | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Destiny’s Grace | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hopeshecanrun | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kappa Hill | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Connectique | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purrrfect Rhythm | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Habanero Tom | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Dane | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Holiday | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Boy Charlie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Coattails | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seitan | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior and a Half | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Night Stick | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Box of Candy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Brad’s Cowboy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yankeestrolgy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Nugget | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piccolo Uomo | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Accord | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Front and Silver | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovers Never Say | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Courtly Doc | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fitts N Starts | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Akiane’s Soldier | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Deal Me a Penny | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Agami | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Takin Over | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Amen | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Be Gone | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherry Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tolatetoowait | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jaysker | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Priority | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Pete | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slither | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bling’s Bellwether | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Madalyn Claire | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crankshaft | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Military Bearing | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honor My Speed | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cabot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Verb | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Adios Carlos | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Won Day | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rosy Edge | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bertie’s Cause | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Golden Bling | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carpe Horseshoe | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triple L’s Cutter | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wa Wa Wee Wa | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fasted | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gab’s Humor | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shake Em Bella | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Age of Reason | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Cecile | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Commanded | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Mendelssohn | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gilded Daze | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nana’s Sweet Girl | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Holy Mischief | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slug Bug | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Duchess | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Casually Classy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Rags | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carson Bay | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wedding March | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Lil Poker Face | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gormley’s Queen | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sweet Home Alabama Special S.) – Sweet Home Alabama Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dromas | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heza Royal Cat | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aoide | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jovie G | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unaffiliated | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simplicated | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nothing Is Every | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Channelfortynine | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Triple Red Aces | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy’s Finest | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prix de West | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bobby Boy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Son Carlos | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yes Jack | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Country Cat Jake | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Saints | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aller Vite | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | F J’s Flaco | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Catalina Day | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.