Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Cha Cha | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blitz | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tutta La Vita (AUS) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steel Lute | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | By Any Other Name (AUS) | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spinning Colors | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Okay Fine | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tarneema | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Roscoe Village | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Pachanga | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Burnaway | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Boston Rose (IRE) | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Star Performance | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bam Bam | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Charging | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Spectacle | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Athletic | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Realta | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Did I Dazzle You | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Camdyn Race | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annualized | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Amor Y Control | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Now Showing | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiteknuckleflyer | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chaina | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misprint | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Firebird | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheza Rajun Cajun | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Dreamer | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miguel’s Belle | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lovin Makes Cents | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Amazing Woo | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gucci Boy | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walt Whitman (IRE) | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Austonian | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin Bow | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Insisting | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allegrini | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Star of the Beast | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bob Mo | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dawn Dragon | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Share the Ludt | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twin Lights | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tappan Street | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abundance | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Insurmountable | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy’s Dailys | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Multiverse | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brockton Blaze | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moreperfectunion | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Solid Left | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Capture the Flag | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Calycanthus | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On Thin Ice | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drakon | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unit Economics (GB) | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | J P Hellish | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eldest Son | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riot House | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Degree of Risk | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Understudy Kitty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Burnham Square | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Only in America | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Onrush | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mustang Bay | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mogordy | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What Me Worry | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wordondastreet | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Abundantia S.) – Abundantia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shootoutthelights | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Imaboutago (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wide West (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Care (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Twirling Queen | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlit Lady | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Etrurian | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shoshanah | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Karaya | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Starlet | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Drum Roll | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Gambolini | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jerry the Nipper | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exact Estimate | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boppy O | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skyro | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fly the W | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruse | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Speed | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yamato | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Possiblemente | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mr. Prospector S.) – Mr. Prospector S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Playmea Tune | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | White Abarrio | 0.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mufasa (CHI) | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Chow | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Illuminare | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Vic | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Skylight | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Real Macho | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caramel Chip | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Principito | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gordian Knot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Shaq Diesel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Candy Gray | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leo Toro | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catalyzed (FR) | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Money Hunny | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aspen Dawn | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Source (GB) | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Mary (GER) | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fay’s Rhonda Cares | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coldhardstare (SAF) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Novara | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Typey | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mi Amore | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Amazin Queen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
