Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Faversham | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bobby Merlot | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboy Cause | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Warrior | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Klimtomaniac | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap to Connect | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roulette | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Tough | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Admiral Afleet | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Little Z | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snow Flurry | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tootoo Tourist | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unified Love | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Craftroom | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little E | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hauntress | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hold My Hat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Romeo Spikes | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Onemotime | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella’s Boss | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Native Red | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Dan | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chief Slew | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hes the Bomb Too | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | C F Spunie Style | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Talk of the Town | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Herecomestroy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Moon | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Saints | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Trip | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bud Won | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nephi | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Out Making Treble | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiverton | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky’s Secret | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rumpusinthesky | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kinfolk | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Four Dice | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Town Branch | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kit Kat Kidd | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heza Sexy Zong | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A’debris | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Homeland Messa | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mokings | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockall | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quarter Rat | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hail the Cat | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inspector Ed | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shankinstine | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thunder Road | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joey’s Lightening | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wonderrand | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nodah | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R T’s Gem | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pickin Ana Grinnin | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alliaceous | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ironit | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Polk | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Ridge Queen | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Girl Thirsty | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tensas Candy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kant Beat the Rock | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seismic Spirit (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drip d’Oro | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baron of the Nile | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mazing Mark | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | South Side | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sam’s Promise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Northwind | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Castille | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | J’s Little Man | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coastal Defense | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | G’s Storm | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Family Creed | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | G E H Giants Way | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Ride | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Butch Womble | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lo Lo’s Laughter | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
