Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jojo Bean | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tensas Bolt | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thundering Desire | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Empress | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jazzy Gal | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smittys Cheetah | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wosiemaks | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vanna G | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ostrica | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wickedrevolution | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Dixie Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Autumn Rhythm | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Ginger | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Terra Bella | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carson Bay | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smalltownsmokeshow | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Birthday Girl | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alvarado Cat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starry Eyed | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Knight | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gordito Hermoso | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Check Me Out | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rayden and Remi | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catchin Drama | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Garfish | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Always Practical | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Always Practical | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Make a Million | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delicate | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Betty’s Dance | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Zone | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Blink | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Armaleese | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fuego K | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chrome Baby | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overanalytical | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Release McCraken | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Moon | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ember | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tres Soles | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gilmore | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Just the Sky | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ragtime Lady | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Bar | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Waves | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | For Love and Honor | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Box of Pictures | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toasted Roll | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Venomous Vixen | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Foret | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Shiro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Prairie | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Delightful Halo | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spicy Mustard | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Becky’sgottahaveit | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jus Makes Cents | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awree | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kalil | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coteau Moment | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Party On Girl (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rue Lala | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Off Ramp | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Richies Princess | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girls Weekend | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Notice Me Too | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gavea (GER) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Numero Seis | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Becca | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kaely’s Sister | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tu Cha | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ervadean | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Easy Red | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Honor His Half | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runtolive | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Basile | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lulu’s Magic | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Copper Crush | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Radiant Rebel | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Medicine | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cairo Charm | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Precious Money | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Talkabout | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.