Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Fake | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Peach Pass | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Echo Lake | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Onthisharvestmoon | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Fake | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Opportunity | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swans Island | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Girl | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Opportunistic | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Short Ship | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Six Whips | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justinspeightofit | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Up Against It | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spotted Bull | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Constitution | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swing Oil | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reckless Place | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Always Be Smart | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St Pete’s Passion | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atrocious | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Lincoln | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evasive Moves | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Renard | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Booster Shot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twentyeighttothree | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | October Bliss | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Get Like Mike | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Checkitup | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time Tested | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cojelo Pa Ti | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Riley’s Rockstar | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twenty One Kid | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cojelo Pa Ti | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strand Road | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skinny Joey | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scudetto | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Bogan | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Lou | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cisco Kid | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Ted | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Try Harder | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mask Patrol | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Depoli | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Humble Joe | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Alilnalot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ferrari Kid | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carbonite | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go East | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nicole’s King | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dos de Oros | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scamp Walker | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Khopesh | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Milagroso | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gamerun | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Back East | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Gotham | 30.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Arrebato | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Good Reunion | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | What Does It Take | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Last Mission | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Rewards | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roan Mountain | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hermoso Hombre | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Knight | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Optic Way | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Level Up | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simovitch | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amatteroftime | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jewels in the Bay | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Dude | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Koselio | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Batter Up Bud | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clancy O’Toole | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swift Tap | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Zap Motion | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swift Tap | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Romance | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coco Shell | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hidden Promise | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sailor’s Return | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Super John | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wynn Giant | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Act | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Title Shot | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Notable Bob (CHI) | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petulant Delight | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.