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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 13, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cajunette 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Yo Leven 2.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 She’s Wicked Smart 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Scarborough Fair 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Lumenique 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Gouldian 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lady Laoban 0 0-1
2 2 Union Suit 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Karen’s Honor 4.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Carbon 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Lady Laoban 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Miti Fast Flower 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 La Grotte 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Camm’ Duke 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Eric From Miami 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Skellig Island 30.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Noble Huntsman 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Alpha Sonny 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Aint No Joke 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Java Buzz 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Neuschwanstein 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 I Got Busted 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Muazarah 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 J D Factor 1.60 3.5 7-1
5 5 Midnight Worker 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Barstool Babe 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Danneel 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Looking for Ginny 4.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Hayes Bay 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Lucky and Gorgeous 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Sherman’s Marlin 10.00 7 13-1
4 4 Exotic Cat 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 White Series 30.00 1 2-1
3 3 Alternate Reality 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Suerte 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Unbridled Bomber 2.00 3.8 7-1
1A 6 Certified Loverboy 1.60 4.7 9-1
1 1 Uninvited Guest 1.60 6.7 13-1
6 7 Bold Victory 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
My First Love 0 0-1
1 1 Fabulous Fox 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 My First Love 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Will Be Famous 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Floge 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Kitten’s Appeal 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Willful Desire 1.40 SCRATCH
3 3 Collect Dattt 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Blue Eyed Scout 0 0-1
4 4 Blue Eyed Scout 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Observer 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Sky Travel 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Turbo Train 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Mary in the Irons 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Lady of Mercia 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Je T’adore 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Joevia’s Diva 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Alyvia Mavis 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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