Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urban Symphony | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Artillery Gunnar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiny Lake | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Urban Symphony | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Have a Party | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kissling | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bookitwithhaddad | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Enabler | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bigtonten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | English Daddy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bad Boy Blaze | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Mick | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Chance a Lot | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Up in Flames | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Docsgotallthecandy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lino and Me | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Probale Ten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Secret Treasure | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inspeightoftrainer | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Admit Nothing | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Motskari | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stately Order | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty the Giant | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Formal Affair | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap Your Heart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Nellie Morse S.) – Nellie Morse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Headline Numbers | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Dancer | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bailintin | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Heidelberg | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peppermint Class | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Call Another Play | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full Irish | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Full Irish | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Radical Right | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tenebris | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Freeze the Fire | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bergen | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Assume Nothing | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Got Fire | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Quint | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Mule | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Candy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Classic Joke | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Barbara Fritchie S.) – Barbara Fritchie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I’m a Cutie Pie | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Irish Maxima | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | St. Benedicts Prep | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Spa | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Cutie Pie | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Q | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aussie Girl (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (John B. Campbell S.) – John B. Campbell S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speedyness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Offaly Cool | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hittheroadjak | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Vine | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brilliant Ice | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cataleya Strike | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deposition | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (General George S.) – General George S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quint’s Brew | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Jericho | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Contender | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Circle P | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Antonelli | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Fleet | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sin Permiso | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Sin Permiso | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Whiskeyinthejaro | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whatahardmanfidead | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Earl of Dassel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bermuda Run | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Renegade | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sin Permiso | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wine Collector | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.