Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dirty Words | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Dunmore | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mutt Dillin | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Max n’ Lou | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Targaryis | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Box of Light | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Breezy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Ticket | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jerry’s Spirit | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zombo Bombo | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Disrespectful | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pratchett | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trotsky | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ms McWhinney | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Headed for Om | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Long Mayshe Reign | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gem Mine | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms McWhinney | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready Jet Go | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Activated (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Point and Shoot | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Addiction | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Tiger | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greatful Attitude | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Gazelle | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Popis | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pondergating | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unconquerable Keen (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Buck | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tigerhon (FR) | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | See Through It | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elwood Blues | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Turn On The Jets (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lurking Fear | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Getemdusty | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shaun’s Jazz | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not My Rodeo | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Updraft | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Six Hot Grands | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galloping Major | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Dusan | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Big Smile | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crazy Cavalier | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sand Bagger | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feel the Magic | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Black as My Heart | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Travail | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Maxville | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stepbrotheraustin | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | White Mountain | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Candyinthemorning | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Chappy | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Icy Mischief | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spread the Risk | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Respect the Crown | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tigerize | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lochmara | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Baffle S.) – Baffle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fomo Joe | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Triple Diamonds | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom’s Not Free | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scipio | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Warrior | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maximus | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Style Cat | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pura Vida Princesa | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dandy Vandy (FR) | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Footnote | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lila | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Calmate | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Makenarita | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Watershed Moment | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Innovative | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inner Fury (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.