Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Karmalites | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Talk | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leilauni Sue | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bang Bang Fury | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luck Is a Lady | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lahar Blockade | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Braken Good | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Get Frosty | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bradford | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Get Away With It | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Preacher’s Kid | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red River | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stillbilly | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rerun | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Willie Cat | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Heartaches | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Battleoftheravine | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Willie Cat | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Get Frosty | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arky Road | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gentle Ben | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Seeking the Game | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Super Brady | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 12 | Atomic Tone | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Allo Enry | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Johnny Up | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Elusive d’Oro | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tee Burns | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Warp Ride | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Risk Profile | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Family Tradition | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tie Breaker | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Colonel Barton | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gold Baron | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Silardi | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chapter and Verse | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Coldasice | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reecho | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rosie Cotton | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Myspittinimage | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indian Spirit | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daretocatchlove | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Line Runner | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chapter and Verse | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’d Be Honored | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smooth Marriage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Post It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mount Craig | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Wicked Strong | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tis Charming | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gluckstadt | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Famous Final Scene | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rivetage | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fear of Union | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charbon | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tornado Road | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fastened | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pride’s Prince | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Pride’s Prince | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Montana Cafe | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Putting Eagle | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Real Blues | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arjun for Karz | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tip Toe Joe | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | McMusic | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jinxzi | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arthur’s Court | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | E Money | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heckamighty | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saving Heart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Adeera | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Legal Empress | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Awe of Juju | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Em Too | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Decadent | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kinzie Queen | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boutwell Time | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Brahms Image | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strato | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burlsworth | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strike Ridge | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Socks | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Al’s Romeo | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cybertown | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reef’s Destiny | 30.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holding Pattern | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame J D | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Where’s Randy | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paramount Paycheck | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gettinby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Downthedustyroad Breeders’ S.) – Downthedustyroad Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Haulin Ice | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Punchy Girl | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arr Piratetreasure | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Q’s Your Mama | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Appealing Addie | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Storming | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sulwe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lassie My Girl | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gun Party | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m McDreamy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lat Long | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liam’s Journey | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Anthonian | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gunflash | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indy Magic | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Show Time | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hern | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daily Grind | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Millers Rite | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eternally Grateful | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Silver Heist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Caper’s Hooley | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Austin’s Map | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Museum Quality | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Lord | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Penrod | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Affixed | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Safe Bet | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phenomenal Dream | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bourbon River | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tweet Some Mo | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run Deano Run | 50.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tactical Man | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cat Storm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.