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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 6, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Classic Claire 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Jocasta 5.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Where’s the Wine 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Now Yus Cant Leave 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 All About Me 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Cora’s Legacy 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Hauntress 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Bent Halo 15.00 4 7-1
2 2 Bella Carmelina 20.00 8 15-1
10 10 Beads 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Astrology Wonowon 0 0-1
2 2 Ocean Jackpot 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Astrology Wonowon 5.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Computerized 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Beaudean 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Josie’s Priority 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Name the Time 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 The Fact Is 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Not Likely 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Drop Dead Sexy 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Royal O’Haigain 1.80 1.2 2-1
9 9 Flawless Takeover 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Alexaplayborntorun 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Follow the Saint 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 One Line Ruler 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Ann’s Storm 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Fitts N Starts 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Hey Madalyn Claire 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Crawfish Burl 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 I’m So Hot 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Queen of the Moon 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Baby Jane 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Chapellete 4.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Easy Aces 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Artie’s Deal 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Costa Lady 10.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Oak Hill Seniorita 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Give Her Another 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Closing Prayer 10.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Izzy Sweet Girl (IRE) 4.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Crank It Up 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Myiyla 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Pointsetmatch 5.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Reya Sunshine 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Perfect Union 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Yume 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Spectrier 0 0-1
10 10 Shortlist 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 My Bariley 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 He Gots to Go 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Spectrier 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Mischief’s Machine 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 River Raft 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Veracruzin 3.50 5.9 11-1
8 8 Cool Quartet 5.00 6 11-1
6 6 Fabled Ruler 10.00 6.6 13-1
11 11 Niles Channel 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Rocket Hotshot 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miracle On Central 4.50 1 2-1
12 12 Frosty Blue 10.00 1.9 3-1
3 3 One Improbable 8.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Extravagant Prince 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Come On Pop 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Film At Eleven 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Its Paladin Time 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kunan 5.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Sinatra 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Valley of Fire 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Regained Power 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 All Rizz 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Flick 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Baron of the Nile 0 0-1
5 5 Oncoming Train 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Chi Town Hustler 4.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Stingy 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Crime Spree 10.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Onasa 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Huey Duey 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Emerald Express 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Baron of the Nile 12.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Order Up 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Supremely 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Top of My Game 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Flashy Premo 20.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Military Bearing 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wonderful Justice (GB) 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Swiftsure 4.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Donegal Momentum 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Accretive 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Another Mystery 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Out of Deductions 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Rock’n a Halo 4.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Confidence Game 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Arro Smash 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Triple Trea 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Auto Dial 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Yakety Yak 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Cupid’s War 20.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Zoey’s Hippie 30.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Love a Fighter 30.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Malibu Rain 8.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Mr Liam and Alan 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Itzcoatl 6.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Stroller Boy 15.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Surprise Road Trip 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Secession 8.00 9 17-1
13 13 No More Business 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Egor Otay 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Wicked Tough 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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