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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 7, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Golden Symphony 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Dark Devil 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Neon Bordeaux 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Henry’s Hope 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Forgone 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Fly’n Frisbee 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Vitalize 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mama’s Gold 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Nelson Avenue 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Classic Catch 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Masmak 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Kinetic Sky 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Film Star 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Looking for Ginny 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Freud’s Fancy 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Yo Leven 1.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Exotic Cat 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Gouldian 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 One Good Raison 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Staged Conflict 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 It Takes Heart 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 April Antics 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Shezanarcticqueen 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Dashing Della 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Balenciaga Betty 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Ghostly Girl 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Carbon 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Bad Connection 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Bramito 2.50 1 2-1
1A 4 Cold as Hell 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 2 Celestial Glaze 3.50 2 4-1
2 1 M B’s Munning 10.00 2.5 5-1
4 5 Hatch 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 8 Cees Get Degrees 2.00 3 6-1
6 7 Motorcade 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Vinsanity 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Enigmatic 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Lem Me Drink 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Shehanah 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Accelerina 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Political Spin 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Alley’s Song 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 That’sthefactjack 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Sheza Bernardini 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Runnin’ Ray 3.00 1 2-1
3 2 Seeking Unity 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Margin of Air 8.00 3.6 7-1
1A 8 Gun It 4.00 4 8-1
1 3 Magnolia Midnight 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Alternate Reality 6.00 7 13-1
5 5 Skylander 3.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Fromanothamutha 20.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Power Seeker 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
My Cool Hand Luke 0 0-1
3 3 Wake Surf 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Clubhouse 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Dads Good Runner 20.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 King Khali 12.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Perfect Flight 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 My Cool Hand Luke 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Because the Night 30.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Beachwalker 5.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Active Duty 4.00 6 11-1
6 6 Masterwork 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Indianquest 30.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Collect From Ike 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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