Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Thank You Jon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Three O Two | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Persistent Danger | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Captain | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gun Maestro | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bronx Bomber | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Surveillance | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rotknee | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Journey | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Beat the Odds | 1.40 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ridgewood Runner | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hot Rod Rumble | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zeebear | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whenlovetakesover | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Flight | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Rich | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Co Conspirator | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| She’s Complicated | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Parade Ring (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Complicated | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wake Up Lauren | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Contract Law | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Lady Bae | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Persuasive | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chocolatechocolate | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rock the Weekend | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Caldo Candy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Cent Town | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clancy Fancy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elysian Meadows | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock the Weekend | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Concorde Spirit | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Flat On | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Cay | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Scat Tu Tap | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Badge of War | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Timaeus | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 8 | Ragazzo Diabolico | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Always Be Smart | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 7 | Mr. Papagiorgio | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 9 | Six Kings | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Top Flight S.) – Top Flight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Headline Numbers | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Alpine Princess | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Headline Numbers | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elliptic | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Spitfire | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fade to Grey | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Catherine Wheel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Flying | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Hammer | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allure of Money | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Tide | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Road | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brooklyn Strong | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Funny Joke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Valenzan Day | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quick to Accuse | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Quick to Accuse | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master of Arms | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | President Z | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Air of Defiance | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eliminate | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shipsational | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Irish | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Antonio of Venice | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.