Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Okie Den Den | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Banjo | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Georgie | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Can Do Magic | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Clint | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fully Committed | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobo Liver | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Medianoche | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red Abarrio | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Road | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Or Bull | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nimmo | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bijah Again | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carcharoth | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Be Honest | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fifty Nine Fifty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Justified | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Edge of the Blade | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creamrisestothetop | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Raucus | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mariah Kathryn | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alma Brilha | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Merrychill | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Margie Go | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eleanor Rigby | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Callie Rae | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Subway Susie | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | No Fake | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Time to Dream | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Popover Gal | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snow Lake | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shake It Baby | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Five Star Fran | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angelic Storm | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ava K’s Boy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Up Against It | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior’s Vow | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nifty | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sleipnir | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pylon | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Six Whips | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Riley’s Rockstar | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bottles | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ohio Joe | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Captain | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McKirgan | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marchin Into April | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Crush | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jadon’s Honor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | It’s Game Time | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speightster Red | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Margie’s Fun Son | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vine Jet | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Level Up | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Money | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Flyin Mike | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iconic Legacy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Feelucky Tonite | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mega Charlie | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eagles Cry | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tuff Constitution | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Printrack | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Poppy’s Pride | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mac Daddy Too | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disturbed | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Center Mid Maddie | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ahsad | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jewels in the Bay | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sam Wheat | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kate’s Golden Dude | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.