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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 25, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 La Banquera 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Majestic Return 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Proud Foot 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Will Be Famous 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 6 Caress 12.00 4.1 8-1
1A 5 Save Us Melania 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Calling an Audible 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Ah Ca Ira 1.40 2.2 4-1
2 2 Immigration Law 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Esther’s Salad 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Staged Conflict 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Global Charmer 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Naive Melody 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Kenny Be 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Givememythememusic 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Vekinda 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Scheduling Dude 6.00 4 7-1
7 7 Three B’s 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Village Person 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Valenzan Day 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Empty Tomb 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ice Road 1.60 3.8 7-1
1 1 Catch the Smoke 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Prince of Joy 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Co Conspirator 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Solve the Puzzle 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Cajunette 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Good Mission 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Lumenique 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Last Mango 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Gouldian 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Custom 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Melancia 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gypsy Dreaming 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Vow of Secrecy 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Protected 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Playing Tricks 4.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Draft Riots 5.00 7 13-1
7 7 Chowser 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Tactical Trackstar 8.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Orgonite 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Not for Hire 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Master Freud 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Bosun 2.50 4.8 9-1
2 1 Li’l Lang 10.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Mo for the King 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Friend Ofthe Devil 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Sir Palace Prince 30.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Attorney Wade 8.00 7.3 14-1
1 3 Mazzei 30.00 8.3 16-1
3 2 Leo’s Reward 15.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Noble Huntsman 30.00 11.7 22-1
1A 15 On the Hill 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Camm’ Duke 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Miracle Mike 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 King Phoenix 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Vitalize 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Free Dance 10.00 4.1 8-1
13 13 Powered by Coal 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 G Five 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 Coach Case 4.50 8.2 15-1
12 12 Kismeholdmethrlme 20.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Ataturk 8.00 10.2 19-1
2 2 Home Invasion 20.00 10.5 20-1
11 11 Hello Newman 12.00 11.4 21-1
10 10 Tiztimonial 12.00 11.9 23-1
3 3 Coco Sun 15.00 11.9 23-1
9 9 Alan Turing 15.00 12.2 23-1
14 14 Viking Warrior 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sir Oscar 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Mozambique 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Undisputed 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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