Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Wampus Kitten | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Chica Arma | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spin the Breeze | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Wildwood Queen | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Taker Back | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sabres | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fine by Design | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sending | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Southern Speight | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Millie’s Stardust | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Max Dot Socks | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Task | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chromerunner | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time Andbeyond | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stuck N Snow | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Where’s Randy | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gee No Hollander | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Strategy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Doublecheck | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Point Blank | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speaking Loud | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cool and Cloudy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Clear Echo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | On a Spree | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Adam | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Right Tone | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wartime Hero | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Boss | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dual Monarchy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reveille Valley | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Candy for Carmel | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Boss | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trikitraki | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Frost Alert | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Face Value | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Darrow | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Infinite Luck | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Vino | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Wicked Strong | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gatlinburg | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Go | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Joker | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Halfway Tempted | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remember the Fear | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Storm | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fanatical | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trouble’s Roaring | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Faust | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lord Diamond | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divino | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drill Baby | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guns and Ships | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Cyclone | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skibidi Rizz | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Close Call | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cannon | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flyin Private | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Kid Syd | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Safe Bet | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Phenomenal Dream | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tip Toe Joe | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nightnthequarter | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perp Walk | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Great Day for Vino | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lake of Fire | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Imo the Best | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Affixed | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Getty’s Revenge | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pasa Doble | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Now We Go | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | More Power | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Systemic Change | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Rey Dorado | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gasoline | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | California Tiger | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Pats Property | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Huge Bigly | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamis | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Get Her Number | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Touch Of Glam (ARG) | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Own the Field | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rocket Sanders | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Black White N Gold | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Koufax | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I Don’t Get It | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Recker Point | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inexorable | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spoiler | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dick Best | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palm Tree | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Myra’s Boy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bettys Cash | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Imperial Gun | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hern | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Plausible Denile | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Noble Knight | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | First Bid | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fear of Union | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Greers Ferry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.) – Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Zippy Mark | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lochmoor | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Strike Ridge | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willow Creek Road | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Man in the Can | 1.60 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Ten Stadium | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoppin John | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cybertown | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Burlsworth | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Barrier | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holding Pattern | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chez Whiz | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ready Shoes | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | God’s Country | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hicko | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Willy Cuts | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cowboycents | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Castle Gap | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viney | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pearcy Road | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arkoma | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Markansas | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Flat Out Blessed | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Posse’s Bandit | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Get the Boss | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Keys Golden Song | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sokker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Lake Ouachita S.) – Lake Ouachita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saudi Crown | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mystik Dan | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emmanuel | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dimatic | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Tap | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seize the Night | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Aaron | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Frankie’s Empire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shot of Courage | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hess | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocco Strong | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lear | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sittin On Go | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon Life | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunrise Drive | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Logical Myth | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unstable Prince | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Boogie Bode | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Nepal Up | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D Day Reunion | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mansoura | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Court | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.