Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moon Fleet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Mary Lou | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flag Song Flyin | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Opportunistic | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Girl | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Eve | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Kingdom | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Demolition Woman | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Planet | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Probationer | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Advice | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whoosh | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marine Patrol | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Be Honest | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Four Days Early | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Princess Cupid | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Popthechampagne Ro | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Between Dreams | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Mischief | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Why Not Babe | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Copy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mended We Stand | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Romance | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Phone Eats First | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldieness | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Okie Den Den | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scudetto | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Giant | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coach Knight | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | McKirgan | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marchin Into April | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Boss | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Lou | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jebologist | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Constitution | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Brown Shoes | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bargaining Power | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Getaway | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cousin Andrew | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mizzen Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jake Brake Alley | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sophia’s Prince | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Humble Joe | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go East | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sam Wheat | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What a Blast | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zippy Gizmo | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rumaway | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlins Cruzin | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raisedaroofcharlie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Buccherino | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spikezone | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Debit Card | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Houghton Shuffle | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Veeson | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harp’s Hot Corner | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Miracle | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deposition | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Boys Answer | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrow Speed | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Gloucester | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In Spades | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Aaraj | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bullet Breeze | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Borracho Concho | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiempo Perfecto | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time Tested | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Cupid | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flashy Alex | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khopesh | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gamerun | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Gray Leonard | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hap’s Victory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Scamp Walker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Grayt Pumpkin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.