Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Burning Leaves | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justice Once | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Money in Motion | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Contrabandista | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quarter Rat | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky’s Secret | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lions Not Sheep | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forthelonghaul | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Ridge | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gluckstadt | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rock City Rocket | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neoking | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Cinema | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Knight Commander | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Say It Nicely | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ships On Fire | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Singh | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Milton Street | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Day Money | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tap the Brakes | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chojo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Berea | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lichita | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldys Lock | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Tap | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leucadia | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Gem | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | What About Q | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steel Spun | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Escape Map | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Native Queen | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tall Tale | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Restrained | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tammy O Shanter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aintnoshakin Kid | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alexiana | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unspoken Truth | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maritime Millie | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mind Your Mo | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skyboom | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane J | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Last Chance | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bill’s Honor | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Tower | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dawson’s Storm | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Samurai Prince | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Luna | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunset for Sandra | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glad Von D | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Surprise | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Glory Gold | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Ember | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eventuality | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | E. L.’s Legacy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lilly of Prince | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cuz We Love Brody | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Promised Oath | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.