Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Run for Gold |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jack’s Time |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
On a Hunch |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Better Than Good |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mo Lute |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Botita |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pops Reward |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Classified |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Control Freak |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mathurine |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Smiling Bonita |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
K C Rocket |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Boss Ben |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Broadway Pete |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just a Irish Lad |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Defiant Malice |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Manny’s Kat |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Shannon K |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Classic Cash |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lu’s Time |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tennessee Grace |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kanjeng |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
She’s Solid Silver |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Back to Ohio |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Demidanu |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Talkin Tipsy |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stone Cold Lover |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Singing Emma |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Broken Hearts Bay |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Wreaking Havoc |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brumbodoppelganger |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Mother Mary |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Josie |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Laura Branigan |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Hippie Trail |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Goldfinch S.) – Goldfinch S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Rich City Girl |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
A Thousand Miles |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Alexandra Elaine |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Two Bar |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Battleshipper |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Keepsake |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Squeeze the Day |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Black Ginger |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Carson Bay |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lit Miss Hat Trick |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Can Do Andrew |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Time to Sing |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Toms Prospector |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Red Kingdom |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Allegrissimo |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Burn Indy Burn |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gold Jerry |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Home Run Sam |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dusan |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Steely Eye |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.