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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Agency 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Betterdaysrcoming (IRE) 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Carver 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Belly Up 2.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Binging 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Western Avenue 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Trotsky 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Distant Fleet 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Novinophobia 4.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 The Key Is Unity 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Mongolian Master 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Thebestisyettobe (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Step It Out (IRE) 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Auratium 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Girlcanthelpit 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lita Way 4.50 4 7-1
4 4 Blue Oasis 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Light Won Up 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Wicked Wind 12.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 La Ville Lumiere 1.60 2 4-1
4 4 Fire Ile 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Velvet Dream 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Tippy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zeus’ War 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Golden River 15.00 3 6-1
3 3 Halo Uncle 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 J. B. Books 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Chief Wild Eagle 20.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Idiot’s Gold 8.00 5 9-1
8 8 Cousin Richie 12.00 5 10-1
2 2 Jerry’s Spirit 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Be Punctual 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Tamarando Star 20.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Mici’s Express 1.80 2.1 4-1
1 1 Fireman Dan 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Asmodeus 4.50 5.7 11-1
5 5 Damazio 3.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Supermax 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rosa Parks 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lava Lucy 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Tight Squeeze 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Guiltyofhavingfun 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Press Your Luck 10.00 4 7-1
9 9 Musical Number 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Wind Speed 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Booster Club 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kikuride 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 How About Pavel 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Coralgableskaylin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dixie Allure 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Beauty Jenny 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Petite Ange 1.60 2.8 5-1
8 8 Babe Kelso 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Coconut Girl 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Spiritual Thought 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Lucky Nea 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Lady Dosia 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 A. P’s Lucky Charm 30.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Memorysinthepark 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Ellie 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Empress Ellie 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Lady Monclaire 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Big Mama Sue 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Madeira Wine 20.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Highlands 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Tiergarten 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Valkyrian (IRE) 6.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Putt for Dough 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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