Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Katheeb | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steelin Bases | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richard Ave | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saratoga Cruiser | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bandoola | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Preach | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bolt to Run | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Maneuver | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disattached | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Noble Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Plex | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mohawk River | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sharpazano | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Hot | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fighting Words | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mustang Bay | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Theo’s Thunder | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Firstflashofmoon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Triunvirato | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr Narcissistic | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chaplin | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Whirlwind Ride | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Zero | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dropkick Murphy | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Song Runner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Love Actually | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Laila Bella Girl | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tree C’s Kai | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alluring Serenity | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Naval Hospital | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ilithyia | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liz Loves Shopping | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swift Candy | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prism Pool Pat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bal de Mar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speightfulelection | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Gone Sally | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not Guilty | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boot’s On the Moon | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Garuda | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free to Roam | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Insurmountable | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Golden Gorilla | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | To the Max | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keep On Moving | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Delray | 1.40 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luz de Guia | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ashima | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rachels Song | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah’s Dream | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Floribunda | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Boeing | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Omega Ms | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Than Glory | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smiling Ellie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady O’Brien | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | China Blue | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On the Nile | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dialithic | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonmati | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nanananabooboo | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Happy Holiday | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aranciata | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Legend | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Roar S.) – Roar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Relator | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turbulent Force | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Most Handsome | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Binks | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ortley Avenue (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mati Gol | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rolando | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Newgrange | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Data | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loco Abarrio | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Chat | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Positive Review | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unclecharliesgift | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Corinto (ARG) | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lightning Tones | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Mo the First | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hades | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Mr. Steele S.) – Mr. Steele S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Flash | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boppy O | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just a Photo | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Degree of Risk | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | California Frolic | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lorenz (BRZ) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baytown Parfait | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eldest Son | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Abrumar | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cash Equity (FR) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.